You been playing twenty-six hours straight, but only twenty-odd hours in this game, 25-50 blinds PLH, you got fifty-one thousand, four hundred twenty-two in front of you, and you *LOOK* like a stone *zombie* except miraculously, you have not only been running *real* lucky but you’re also playing like *GOD* – as in, playing with ‘em face up – now four-handed, and the *other* three aren’t buying the act anymore <smile>, you’re 50 big blind, 3d man passes, button – an *action* guy with whom you’ve played a *LOT*, and thru the grace of God you’ve always seemed to get the better of <smile> for LOTS of money – makes it 200 to go, sb passes. You look down, find K-K, check button’s stack of about fifteen thousand [Christ, where'd he get *that* much <smile>, he's only been here since 11:48 a.m. and he's *stuck*] so you give him action as a courtesy and make it 400 to go. He calls. Flop comes 8-6-2 rainbow. You check, he bets 500, you of course check-raise him 1,500 more. He calls. Turn card comes another 8. Aieee-yaaaa! You check, he bets ya 3,500. (The threat, of course, being that you already raised once out of position, and then check-raised him for a total of two thousand, the guy, *BELIEVE ME*, does *not* think you’re an idiot … <smile> ….
I threw it away, and was so depressed that I got up and quit. Whaddaya think, fellas?
Answer 1:
correct answer is always “it depends” *BUT* ya got to know upon what it depends <smile> – forgot to include that the possibility of the button having 8-8-, 6-6 or 2-2 (i.e. flopping a set) is zero – ya hadda be* there, but *trust me* – and stop and think about it, he already figures – other than a stone action play, which I *aren’t* making, out of the big blind – that I’ve got a big hand. So, obviously, if he flops a *set*, where a possibility is 9-7 straight-draw and if I’m an *idiot* I’m going’ for it, right? So he did *NOT* flop a set.
Answer 2:
If he put you on a big hand, as you say he did, then he’s either a complete maniac or he’s value betting an even bigger hand. You say he’s an action player, so he probably figures he can bet big hands and get called, right? You made a good fold. Put the $3,500 when you want to put it in.
Answer 3:
You’re not really worried about the eight, are you? The hand you’re worried about is A-A. If he has this, you’re toast. If he has Q-Q, J-J, T-T or if he’s busting a move, then you’re a winner. I guess you simply have to try to figure out the probability. You said he was an action player… with absolutely no further knowledge of him, I guess I’d stick in to the end. A sensible player would play Q-Q approximately the same way as A-A in that situation. I don’t mind getting KK beaten by AA once in a while… I’d rather err on the side of playing my big hands strongly and getting thrashed by the occasional even bigger hand, than underplay it or throw it away too often. Sometimes people slow play me by checking and calling with a straight flush while I’ve got top set. But later on I’m raising it up with a marginal hand that I know is a winner. The action I get easily pays for their occasional luck.